AK-Sen, AK-AL: Primary Recap

Tuesday was primary day in Alaska and, well, there was a little event going on that diverted our attention, so I wanted to give an update of Tuesday's results.

  • On the House side, Alaska House Minority Leader Ethan Berkowitz easily dispatched Diane Benson in the Democratic primary. Whom he will challenge in November, however, is still uncertain and won't be decided for a few weeks.

    In the primary for the state's lone House seat, [GOP incumbent Don] Young led Lt. Gov. Sean Parnell by 152 votes, or 0.16 percent, with 99 percent of precincts reporting Wednesday. [...]

    "We're not going to finish counting absentee and [provisional] ballots until Sept. 5," said Gail Fenumiai, director of the state Division of Elections. "We have thousands of absentee ballots to be counted."

    Once the counting is finished, she said, a state board will spend seven to 10 days reviewing the results, a step that is part of every contest, regardless of the margin. The results will be officially certified by Sept. 16 or 17. Only then can the loser request a full recount, which would take at least a few days to complete.

    Considering the recent polling, we should hope that Swing State Project is right when they project the absentee ballots to expand Young's lead but interestingly, they're also reporting that Young has refused to rule out running as an independent if he loses.

  • On the Senate side, Road to 60 candidate Mark Begich officially became the Democratic nominee for the Senate from Alaska and indicted incumbent Ted Stevens became -- for now -- the Republican nominee having won 63% of the vote among a 7 candidate field.

    Considering Begich is up 18% in the Pollster trend estimate, it's possible that Stevens will be pressured out of the race, which would mean the Alaska Republican Party would get to choose a replacement candidate, so it's important to continue to support Mark Begich over at our Road To 60 ActBlue page.



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Parnell (none / 0)

If Parnell loses the primary to Young, then he would be available to step into the senate race if Young decides to drop out.  I don't think Young will give up (he strikes me as more of a "die with his boots on" kind of guy) but if he did then Parnell would, at the least, make the senate race competitive.

Actually, Parnell could pull a two-fer.  If he beats Young, he could still be elevated to the Senate race, and have someone else appointed in his place to the House race.  Pretty crazy.      


by Mose on Thu Aug 28, 2008 at 12:19:12 PM EST

Re: Parnell (none / 0)

The last day for the GOP to replace a House or Senate candidate with a hand-picked candidate is Sept. 17. So if the final certification is Sept. 17, and there is the potentiality of a recount, I think things will stay as-is!


I proudly support Barack Obama for President!
by Zeitgeist9000 on Thu Aug 28, 2008 at 12:31:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Parnell (none / 0)

I think Parnell has been shown to be much weaker than we thought by this primary.  Begich would eat him for lunch.  Short of Palin herself jumping in, the Senate seat is ours.

Assuming Parnell doesn't pull anything out of a hat, the House seat is too.


by Skaje on Thu Aug 28, 2008 at 04:00:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Parnell (none / 0)

I haven't followed this race very closely, so Parnell very well may have said or done something to show he is a weak candidate.  That said, I wouldn't necessarily conclude that Parnell was weak based only on the fact that he couldn't beat Young in the primary.  Young may be tainted by scandal, but he has held that seat for something like 36 years.  That means a GOP voter would have to be 58 years old (remember, the voting age used to be 21) to have voted in a house election that didn't involve Young.  That's an awful lot of inertia to overcome.  That inertia and comfort with a certain name is part of the reason that incumbents hardly ever lose.  


by Mose on Thu Aug 28, 2008 at 05:46:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: AK-Sen, AK-AL: Primary Recap (none / 0)

This is beautiful to watch... even if somehow Young loses, all of the AK GOP Congressional candidates are now weakened by this circus act.

Seriously, Sen. Tubes and Rep. Crook - keep this up.  Don't stop what you're doing, because the Democratic Party is enjoying every minute of it.


by auronrenouille on Thu Aug 28, 2008 at 02:19:45 PM EST


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